Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000509 0.000551 0.000596 0.000646 0.000699 0.000756 0.000820
2026-02-01 0.000438 0.000496 0.000560 0.000634 0.000717 0.000809 0.000917
2026-02-08 0.000388 0.000456 0.000532 0.000624 0.000733 0.000855 0.001006
2026-02-15 0.000350 0.000424 0.000510 0.000617 0.000746 0.000897 0.001088
2026-02-22 0.000320 0.000398 0.000491 0.000610 0.000758 0.000935 0.001165
2026-03-01 0.000295 0.000376 0.000475 0.000604 0.000768 0.000970 0.001239
2026-03-08 0.000271 0.000354 0.000456 0.000593 0.000771 0.000994 0.001298
2026-03-15 0.000252 0.000335 0.000440 0.000584 0.000775 0.001019 0.001357
2026-03-22 0.000232 0.000315 0.000421 0.000569 0.000769 0.001031 0.001399
2026-03-29 0.000217 0.000299 0.000408 0.000561 0.000771 0.001051 0.001453
2026-04-05 0.000205 0.000288 0.000399 0.000558 0.000780 0.001081 0.001519
2026-04-12 0.000196 0.000280 0.000393 0.000559 0.000794 0.001117 0.001596
2026-04-19 0.000185 0.000269 0.000385 0.000557 0.000805 0.001153 0.001678
2026-04-26 0.000173 0.000255 0.000372 0.000547 0.000805 0.001173 0.001736
2026-05-03 0.000162 0.000244 0.000360 0.000539 0.000807 0.001195 0.001800
2026-05-10 0.000153 0.000233 0.000350 0.000533 0.000811 0.001220 0.001868
2026-05-17 0.000144 0.000224 0.000341 0.000527 0.000815 0.001244 0.001936
2026-05-24 0.000136 0.000215 0.000333 0.000522 0.000819 0.001269 0.002005
2026-05-31 0.000128 0.000205 0.000322 0.000512 0.000816 0.001282 0.002056
2026-06-07 0.000121 0.000196 0.000312 0.000504 0.000815 0.001299 0.002113
2026-06-14 0.000113 0.000186 0.000300 0.000492 0.000805 0.001300 0.002146
2026-06-21 0.000107 0.000179 0.000292 0.000484 0.000804 0.001315 0.002200
2026-06-28 0.000102 0.000173 0.000287 0.000482 0.000810 0.001343 0.002276